Pfitzy
Nathan Sharpe (72)
I'd suggest most wouldn't hang around and would probably be sitting at Manly, Chatswood or Woollahra getting 15 mins and then drinking all day with their mates in other grades.
There's the rub. Most of these guys aren't actually interested in playing rugby as the first priority; it's about hanging out with your mates, getting on the cans, and finding the level of commitment you want.
In terms of rugby's shrinking numbers, IMHO this change in attitude from potential player groups is as significant as demographic change.
Some players only want to commit the minimum training and playing time, and maximise the socialising time. That doesn't make them bad people but it does mean the game is eroding from the bottom up.
Big clubs have the critical mass for delivering game day experience. Small clubs struggle with having the infrastructure to do so.
In my pessimistic moments, I look ahead 10 years where we have 4 divisions of Subbies at most, and probably no division consistently fielding 4 grades.
There will be waves of growth as smaller clubs flicker out and leftover players go elsewhere, but it is a downward trend.
Short of massive Wallabies success and a rethink of the systems (we need the latter more than the former), Rugby is headed toward niche sports status, where only those on the Pro pathway are still playing. Kind of like the NFL where there isn't really a competitive social version of the game.