I have a few things to say here.
Despite the criticism the Boks have received over the years for their kick-oriented gameplay I firmly believe a well executed kicking strategy is just the way to beat the All Blacks. It would have to be really good and we'd have to have the edge in the collisions coupled with excellent defense as is always required against the All Blacks.
I believe the Bok management have done a very good job in gradually evolving the Springbok game rather than forcing it from the start, but I feel not enough time has been spent on our tactical kicking. In contrast, this is where the All Blacks have caught up and surpassed the Boks in recent years so that pretty much leaves us with no advantage whatsoever.
Maybe it's poor defense and poor game reading by the opposition but when I watch games from the 80s where Naas features there always seems to be a clear plan to his kicks which are not pre-meditated but rather assessed speedily beforehand by him so he can launch a kick that puts the opposition under pressure.
Our conditioning, despite what has been made of it, is not on par with the All Blacks' conditioning. Our running game has always been behind theirs. Our forwards which is usually one of our weapons where from time to time we may have felt we had the edge are being matched by an equally physical and fitter pack all around the park.
The defensive pattern employed by the Boks is a little strange. There are so many missed tackles percentage wise compared to most other teams although we are holding out and the defense has not been bad. Still, I feel it can be improved somewhat.
We are trying to play an up-tempo game but we seem to botch it by losing the ball soon, the last game against the Wallabies being the exception. Then, to compound it all the opposition (Argentina, Wallabies 1st game and the All Blacks) keep running at us or in the case of the All Blacks also kicking themselves into better positions to ensure they stay ahead. If they're not ahead the kicking helps to put pressure on the defending side.
It's incredibly hard as it is to beat the All Blacks and then we go talking ourselves up every single time.
This year the news was:
- Springboks want All Blacks scalp this year, time has come for it.
- Springboks deny that losing the last game of the RC to the All Blacks will be a major issue.
- The Springboks claim to have a quiet confidence.
- So they say the win will come at some point.
- The confidence is misplaced and the aim is very clear. The team is desperate for a win and in their minds they are starting to believe it is not possible.
- Duane seems to be so valuable to us that we think we lose all hope of winning without him - hence the delayed team announcement.
- So despite all of what the Boks want us to believe, the manner of their responses in the media clearly reveals they don't have much faith in themselves to beat the All Blacks.
We're starting to sound like Wales sound every time before they play one of the big three from the South. Before you know it 4, 5...6 years have gone without a victory and boom... 50 odd years later and Wales have not beaten the All Blacks.
The Springoks should be careful not to fall into this mental trap caused by the current AB dominance or 2011's win against a depleted All Black side will be all we have to show for the decade 2010-2020.