France & England at home & Ireland not till the last day do you think this year your a genuine chance?
In all seriousness, would be more than happy to be wrong, but the squad comes across as deckchair shuffling, and we're destined for another 3 win season, with Millennium hoodoo broken and one home win. From the match day teams that played Ireland and South Africa only Ollie Smith (injured), Rory Sutherland (Dropped - Lack of Gametime) and Dave Cherry (Persona non grata) are gone, and while injury has affected the decision, some very veteran players (WP Nel, Richie Gray and Grant Gilchrist) have been retained, and appear unlikely to be moved away from. The coaching staff is broadly the same. No major indication from players or staff that there's been some redefining or change of focus in how we play or look to win.
Little tweaks can certainly be made to adapt to the different players coming in, but we don't have an outstanding tight five talent or golden generation, or even mastermind tactician, that takes us from "upper end of best of the rest" to genuine top 4 team that we would need to be to secure a four or five win 6 Nations.
Alternatively BK stamps his authority as the best fullback in the world, the Russell-Redpath axis goes brilliantly on the international arena and Cummings steps out of the shadows behind Gilchrist and the Grays to be our dominant second rower, smashing Wales and Ireland, winning free flowing contests against England and France at home before Ben Healy nails a last minute shot to secure the grand slam in Dublin. Totally not delusional.