CAS Rd # 8 – 26th July
St. Aloysius v Knox
Barker v Waverley
Trinity v Cranbrook
My thoughts for the games this week. Though, on paper, there are definite favourites I think that this week should see some attractive Rugby.
Trinity is hosting Cranbrook. Cranbrook have a few injuries, but I believe Trinity has as well. This game probably brings the best scrummaging sides together. Both sides have big, powerful and aggressive packs and I imagine it will suit Trinity to keep the game tight. For Trinity to beat Cranbrook they will need to be disciplined, patient and apply pressure. One area in which they may dominate is the line out, so they should try that. Trinity struggles in attack, they do miss Barkley-Brown and their current attack seems to be too hesitant an one dimensional. One lesson they could have learnt from Knox was the ability of Knox to offload in the tackle - if they did that they would see opportunities be created. Their big issue is their depth - a few injuries and the game could be over. That said they will try all day and make the most of what is offered.
Cranbrook is a well balanced, confident and professional side. By that I mean they will pressure relentlessly, keep their structure and build. They look a fit side and will play the full game. They are excellent in defence and use that as an option in attack. Though not as potent in attack as Knox, their forays into their opponents 22 will inevitably lead to points. And, unlike previous years there is some depth in Cranbrook Rugby. Cranbrook will win, but Trinity will make them work for it.
Barker versus Waverley
At home Barker should win, but Waverley, to their credit, is the most improved side in the competition. It may depend on which team from either side turns up.
Both teams have different natures. Waverley is unpredictable and thrives on broken play. Barker will be well drilled and be methodical and use Burkett and their 9 and 10 to effect.
Waverley will want to play wide and expansive. Take risks and apply pressure to Barker by running the ball at them. There are some good runners in that back line and I don't think Barker's defence matches that of sides of previous years. Barker will keep the game tight and apply pressure and try to get advantage of any lapses in Waverley's discipline. Of the three games this weekend, this will probably be the hardest to pick and potentially the lowest scoring game, but at home and with an obvious advantage in depth I lean towards barker.
Aloys vs Knox
If games were played on paper, this game would be lay down misere. However Aloys play the game in a highly spirited manner and have off a good win against Barker. They will be confident and in recent years Knox seems to struggle at Willoughby Oval. There is no doubt that this is a very good Knox side, but they have issues in playing the full 80 minutes. Perhaps if they lost a bit of flamboyance and became more clinical their season would have been even better. But they can play very attractive attacking rugby and I would expect that tomorrow. The slighter smaller ground may not totally suit their side-to-side attacking prowess, but their forward advantage will probably allow them to play a more direct physical way. The Knox side has multiple attacking go to players in their side, but i think one of their real strengths in attack is their ability to support the ball player, offload in tackles, get quick ball away and change angles of attack. They are also strong in defence when they are fully concentrating. They will need to concentrate on this game rather than the one against Cranbrook the following week. But they do tend to lapse in that area and would give away too many penalties for the coaches liking.
Aloys won't be able to defeat Knox by defence and restricting knox to one or two tries. They will need to attack early and constantly. Play risky rugby and see what happens. Aloys are a spirited side and do play attacking Rugby, but they do have an issue with size and depth. I can't see them doing to Knox what Waverley did, but Aloys are more than capable of springing an upset on their day. In a high scoring affair with potential lead changes I see Knox pulling away comfortably by the end of the game. However the final score may not be a true reflection on the closeness of the game.
But I hope all the games are good ones, played in the right spirit and with no injuries. And all the players have a great time and enjoy themselves